Centre honeycomb: Forecast
The honeycomb at the centre of the screensaver shows which price curve your
neural net is currently computing. The net is sent back in time, so to say,
and learns on the basis of past trends by forecasting the stock value and comparing
it to the real one (see: MoneyBee®
Forecasts).
The two curves show the following information: the actual historical stock
trend is depicted in white, the training forecast for the
past is honey-coloured. One can rely upon the fact that the net in this
window will display a similar correspondence between forecasts
for the future and for the real stock trend.
To begin with, the two curves will only correspond very badly - the net has
not learnt a lot, quality (Upper left-hand Honeycomb) is low. The better the
two curves match up to each other, the better the quality.
The right-hand side of the diagram displays actual forecasts (even if they
are aimed at the past), since the equivalent historical values were not submitted
to the net for training. If you compare the dates for the training in the Upper
left-hand Honeycomb with the starting and finishing dates of the display
in the centre, all data in the centre display outside of the training period
are entry patterns that the net did not know at the time of compilation.
Further explanations: centre, upper
left-hand, lower left-hand, upper
right-hand, lower right-hand, Ticker,
Explanation.
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